Over the years, the years the GSG has contributed major scenario assessments for international organizations, and collaborated with colleagues throughout the world.
As the third in a trilogy, Great Transition builds on the earlier Branch Points (Gallopín et al., 1997), which introduced the GSG’s scenario framework, and Bending the Curve (Raskin et al., 1998), which analyzed the long-term risks and prospects for sustainability within conventional development futures.
New ways of thinking, acting and being are urgently needed.
But as surely as necessity is the spur for a Great Transition, the historic opportunity to shape an equitable world of peace, freedom and sustainability is the magnet.
It would offer a positive vision of a civilized form of globalization for the whole human family.
This will happen only if key sectors of world society come to understand the nature and the gravity of the challenge, and seize the opportunity to revise their agendas.Indeed, to many, this ominous possibility seems the most likely. Humanity has the power to foresee, to choose and to act.While it may seem improbable, a transition to a future of enriched lives, human solidarity and a healthy planet is possible. It is a work of analysis, imagination and engagement.It has been two decades since the notion of “sustainable development” entered the lexicon of international jargon, inspiring countless international meetings and even some action.But it is our conviction that the first wave of sustainability activity, in progress since the Earth Summit of 1992, is insufficient to alter alarming global developments.One SAC Bomber—Convair B-36—is called Peacemaker and one inter-continental missile-LGM-118-Peacekeeper.In 2016, former US Secretary of Defense Ash Carter envisaged that the rebalance to the Asia-Pacific will make the region "peaceful" through "strength": You, and your fellow soldiers, sailors, airmen, and Marines will solidify the rebalance, you will make this network work, and you will help the Asia-Pacific ... Introduction to US National Security and Defense Strategies of 2018 states: The US force posture combined with the allies will "preserve peace through strength".Different cultures, religions, philosophies and organisations have varying concepts on how such a state would come about.Various religious and secular organisations have the stated aim of achieving world peace through addressing human rights, technology, education, engineering, medicine or diplomacy used as an end to all forms of fighting.Since 1945, the United Nations and the five permanent members of its Security Council (China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States) have operated under the aim to resolve conflicts without war or declarations of war.Nonetheless, nations have entered numerous military conflicts since then.