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Q.2 “Second, tell me what this says about the models used by the IPCC and others which have predicted a rise of 0.2 degrees celsius per decade for the 21st century.I accept that there will always be periods when a rising gradient may be interrupted.
To address some of the points in the article published today: Firstly, the Met Office has not issued a report on this issue.
We can only assume the article is referring to the completion of work to update the Had CRUT4 global temperature dataset compiled by ourselves and the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit.
However, within this record there have been several periods lasting a decade or more during which temperatures have risen very slowly or cooled.
The current period of reduced warming is not unprecedented and 15 year long periods are not unusual.
Graph showing years ranked in order of global temperature.
" data-medium-file="https://metofficenews.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/ranked_combined.png? w=300" data-large-file="https://metofficenews.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/ranked_combined.png? w=640" class="size-full wp-image-4782" title="ranked_combined" alt="" src="https://metofficenews.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/ranked_combined.png? w=640" srcset="https://metofficenews.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/ranked_combined.png? w=640 640w, https://metofficenews.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/ranked_combined.png? w=150 150w, https://metofficenews.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/ranked_combined.png? For example, 1979 to 2011 shows 0.16°C/decade (or 0.15°C/decade in the NCDC dataset, 0.16°C/decade in GISS).Looking at successive decades over this period, each decade was warmer than the previous – so the 1990s were warmer than the 1980s, and the 2000s were warmer than both.On the rain soaked, 262 km, 11th stage of the Giro d’Italia from Lucera to l’Aquila, the entire Liquigas team wore special helmets.The helmets, MET Sine Thesis models with special graphics, are being auctioned now on (Italian) Ebay as a fundraiser for the “Collectivo 99”.· The reality is the Met Sine Thesis helmet does allow the air to flow nicely which ...My only concern with the Met Sine Thesis is the silicone gel pads on ...We announced that this work was going on in March and it was finished this week. Secondly, Mr Rose says the Met Office made no comment about its decadal climate predictions.This is because he did not ask us to make a comment about them.Combined, several of these factors could account for some or all of the reduced warming trend seen over the last decade – but this is an area of ongoing research.———– The below graph which shows years ranked in order of global temperature was not included in the response to Mr Rose, but is useful in this context as it illustrates the point made above that eight of the warmest years on record have occurred in the past decade.